It's Cheaper to Wreck These Houses..
...than finished the development to sell them, according to the bank that owned these 16 houses that were acquired via foreclosure.
...than finished the development to sell them, according to the bank that owned these 16 houses that were acquired via foreclosure.
You gotta to know this that the new home industry is so different than the existing market (or resale). Builders have their own standards including their own contracts. I am not even going to discuss contracts here because that is outside the scope of my expertise, but there are certain basic things that you as a buyer should know about new home warranties.
There's all kinds of variations on warranties out there that covers all or part of a new home, i.e structural, new construction, remodeler's home improvement, extended warranty, and more.
Generally new home warranties fall into three categories, via Realtor:
1. Statutory. These are warranties specifically required by law. Some states, including Indiana, Louisiana, Maryland, Minnesota, Mississippi, New Jersey, New York, and Virginia, have passed new-home warranty acts that require builders to provide protections to home buyers. These warranties range from two years for the quality of workmanship and materials to 10 years for structural defects.
2. Implied. These are warranties inferred by legal precedent set in past lawsuits. Today, most states have case law that protects new-home buyers from faulty workmanship. One of the most common implied warranties is the implied warranty of habitability, which guarantees that the house will be free from defects that substantially impair its use and enjoyment. Such a warranty often covers significant defects in the plumbing, electrical, roofing materials, and structural systems such as the foundation. This warranty may also include a guarantee to the initial buyer that the materials, products, or fixtures that make up the home (such as the plywood or siding) are free from defects.
3. Express. These are written warranties provided by the home builder. A builder may decide to provide express warranties about the home in the purchase contract, even in the absence of a law requiring it to do so. The express warranties might read something like: “The builder of this home hereby warrants the quality of the completed structure for two years from the date of completion.” Specific express warranties often benefit a home builder because the builder may attempt to disclaim all implied warranties by providing specific ones. For example, if a builder provides an express warranty covering structural defects for a period of five years from the date the home is completed, it will probably try to disclaim implied warranties that cover the same defect for a period of seven years. However, most courts hold that a disclaimer of an implied warranty is void because it defeats the purpose of the warranty: to protect consumers from faulty workmanship.
(emphasis added)
Based on observations, the big builders use typically have 'strategic business partnerships' in place with major home warranty companies. In this case the warranty company is the 'gateway' between you and the builder.
The one thing that you should NOT do is: to hire a professional to repair the alleged defect and then file a claim against the builder. Unfortunately, in the builder's world - it doesn't work that way. They have disclaimers in place to prevent in the legalese term 'actions against them for defects.' In layman's term lawsuit...
image: Dulles Metro
Pre-construction work for phase I Dulles Metrorail slated for Route 123 Tysons Corner area, schedule to begin the week of the 15th, which is this week. If you work, live, and play around Tysons, you know that this is going to be a traffic nightmare just to get around the area. Because you get the regular rush hour traffic and holiday traffic (holiday shoppers) to the mall - combined.
Via Dulles Metro.
The work will take place on land bounded by International Drive and Tysons Boulevard, and by Route 123 and Galleria Place. The site will be cleared of existing brush and vegetation to make way for construction trailers, utility relocation work, and the start of the easternmost section of a 2,100-foot tunnel that will run below the intersection of Routes 7 and 123. This is the highest natural point in Fairfax County. Existing trees will be retained along the perimeter of the property. Some of the trees may have to be removed during future construction of the tunnel.
For the latest traffic updates check out here.
image: Cameron Station
Over in Arlington, Alexandria City, Fairfax City, Fairfax, PG County, MD - either has regulations already in the books or in the works - for infill development of McMansion or Super-sized homes. The amendments include: height, front setbacks, garages, floor area ration (FAR), tree coverage and teardowns on substandard lots.
Alexandria City recently passed three amendments to address the super-sized homes issues. Three amendments approved by the City Council, via Update (subscription-only):
1. For houses that are 'too big.'
- Alexandria imposes Floor area revisions (FAR) for both residential and commercial. Removes exclusion on areas under 7'6" ceiling heights. Attic under 5' excluded. Vaulted ceilings over 15' shall be counted twice, and those over 25' counted 3 times FAR.
2. For houses that are 'too tall.'
- Dwelling height calculation is set at the greater of 25 feet or average building ht on the blockface plus 20%. Special permit is needed if owners looking to build homes that exceed those requirements.
- Front threshold heights. It's a permanent approval given to interim regulations. It limits the front threshold and by extension the first floor height. The new limit is average of front threshold height on the blockface + 20%.
- Measuring building height. This is how Alex. City would measure it: Building height will be measured from the lower of the pre-construction grade or post-construction grade to prevent cheating (for lack of better word) when builders using dirt along the foundation that gives the impression of decreasing building height. Other def are added for mansard and gambrel roof types. (sample of restoration of a gambrel home in Virginia).
image: gambrel roof (via Wiki)
image: mansard roof (via Wiki)
3. Curbing the growth of out-of-character houses.
To preserve neighborhood characteristics, the City gives incentives for front porches, detached garages.
- Open porches up to 240 s.f. is excluded from FAR calculations.
- Rear yard garages will be excluded from FAR measurements. Garages can only be used for cars (no more junks store in the garages).
Some eye-opening stats & trends from the recent report on "Foreclosures in the Washington Metropolitan Region," via Center for Regional Analysis- George Mason University.
Mortgage foreclosure rate by county by April 30, 2008 per 10,000 units:
Obviously, Prince William county is the ground zero for foreclosures with City of Manasass with the highest number of foreclosure among all neighborhoods in Metro DC region.
source: CRA-George Mason (click for larger image)
PAST vs. CURRENT foreclosure situations
In the past, foreclosures happened because of divorce, lost job, economic downturn, and major unexpected expenses (i.e. medical bills).
However, if the current trends is any indication, foreclosures occurred because of: 1) sub-prime loans, 2) greater new home building activity. Look at the crash and burn trends for building permits.
source: Cardinal Bank Metropolitan Economic Indices (click for larger image)
Connecting the dots. The rush in building new homes in the past few years triggered higher number of purchase by speculators and first time home buyers using sub-prime mortgages. More details from the Federal Reserve of Richmond data shows that subprime related mortgage delinquencies for the District spiked up from 13.71% in second quarter 2007 to 18.85% in 2Q 2008.
source: Federal Reserve Richmond
These days, big builders clearly have adjusted their pricing to current market conditions - to just stay afloat. They probably see their margin (of profit) shrinking.

source: Federal Reserve Richmond
The other day, while driving to Haymarket, VA, I saw Hovnanian's billboard advertise a new community of $200's garage townhomes. That price..am sure, two years ago, K Hov would have priced it at no less than low-$300's!
Hmmm. With falling prices, you kind of wondering what the 'survival rates' be among builders.
According to CRA, the City of Manasass has the highest level of concentrated activity in the region. DC, PW county, Loudoun and PG county has also high level of foreclosure with dispersed activity. While Arlington, Fairfax, Montgomery and City of Alexandria has low level, concentrated foreclosure activity.
HOT SPOTS hoods with highest foreclosures:
So, foreclosures affected not only outer burbs but also close-in. New York Ave. and West End are close-in. How much closer can you not be in DC in those hoods?
UPCOMING hoods with spiked activity in foreclosures include Germantown, Centreville, Herndon, Alexandria (part of Fairfax County).
FYI. There are two Alexandria separated for tax purposes. The City of Alexandria and Alexandria with zipcodes of Alexandria, but the locality is part of Fairfax jurisdiction. The difference is in taxation. Residents of the City pays three layers of income taxation: Federal, State and City (local). Ditto with Falls Church. (h/t nobody special).
Foreclosure Trend Watching
Other hoods that CRA seen has low foreclosure activity, however, with continue decline in housing prices these neighborhoods 'might' see higher number of foreclosures in the future.
These hoods are:
The good thing about Washington DC is: The job situation. Among 15 largest metro markets - Washington DC ranks second! after Dallas, TX, added 44,600 jobs from August '07 to '08 - which is not bad considering the U.S. economy.
With the passing of bailout bill, the job market for financial related firms should pick up? Since Treasury is on hiring mode.
Months ago, Fannie Mae decided that buyers should come up with higher down payment (DP) in what they call 'declining markets.' (Read about it here). Maybe it's such a bad decision because it helps put on the brakes home buying especially for first-time buyers.
According to AP, Fannie decided to scrap the plan. So now only 3%-5% down is needed regardless of local market conditions (declining or not) which our area, DC metro region, is one of the 'declining markets.' We're now back to 97% or 95% loan-to-value ratio.
Via Fannie Mae.
"... Starting June 1, 2008, Fannie Mae will accept up to 97 percent loan-to-value ratios for conventional, conforming mortgages processed through its Desktop Underwriter® (DU®) automated underwriting system, and 95 percent loan-to-value ratios for loans underwritten outside of DU, in all geographic locations in the United States. The new national down payment policy will supersede the policy the company adopted in December 2007 that required higher down payments in markets where home prices are declining.
"As another part of our 'Keys to RecoveryTM' initiative, we are today announcing that we will be equalizing the down payment requirements for borrowers in all parts of the country, regardless of local market conditions," Marianne Sullivan, Senior Vice President, Single-Family Credit Policy and Risk Management, said. "This new down payment policy reinforces our goal to support successful home-owning, not just home-buying, as we seek to bring liquidity to all communities and help the housing market recover."
The new national down payment requirements of 3 or 5 percent will apply to loans for purchase of single-family, primary residences. Down payment requirements will vary for other occupancy, property and transaction types. The company will implement systems and operational changes over the summer to accommodate the new national policy. [emphasis added]
That's just the down payment part. Other restrictions still apply.
UPDATE: This announcement was so 'new' (announced this am) that even the loan guy in my office was not aware of this :-)
FURTHER UPDATE: Not clear if condo included in the new policy? It doesn't say about it anywhere in the context, it refers only to "..single family, primary residences." Does primary residence extends to condo? We have yet to see how this going to play out soon.
A while back, when I just get started tracking new homes for New Homes Trekker blog, the first post was this.
It looks like new homes will be built on this site sometime soon. I don't know exactly how many acres of lot. There are a couple of houses next to this one that's been bought out in addition to this house.
The site is about a block away from Merrifield Metro. Wonder what type of homes will be constructed on this site. Condos? Townhomes? Single Family Homes? There's no information available yet as of now.
Merrifield is part of Fairfax County Revitalization project and one of the fastest growing condo communities in Fairfax. Easy access to Metro, the Beltway, I-66 and Tyson's Corner helps fuel the going condo trends over here.
Fast forward a few years, there are two communities across the
street from each other, Dunn Loring Chase and Dunn Loring Glen. Both of
these communities are within walking distance from Dunn Loring metro station. That's why they name it Dunn Loring - and - something. Two different developers, Brookfield Homes and Dittmar Company,
working the area across from each other's site. The constructions for
single homes is an unusual move by Dittmar, because their core of
business is rentals. The last condo they built in Arlington was converted to rentals.
Brookfield had done clearing the bigger land and ready to build 18 new single homes on the site. Not sure how many homes sit on the land before it was bulldozed to build the community. Across the street from here, Dittmar has already subdivided their (smaller) land for 7 homes.
DUNN LORING CHASE (by Brookfield Homes)
image: Brookfield Homes
Over here, Brookfield plans to build 18 Craftsman-inspired homes that offers 3,400-7,900 s.f. of living space and up to 7 bedrooms and 7.5 baths. The standard is 4 bedrooms, 3.5 bathrooms, and 2 car garage. Nothing has been built there yet. According to the sales rep, it'll take anywhere from start to finish 6-8 months after contract data. There are five different models (with different elevations): Chadwick, Dudley, Edgemont, Halley, and Meridia. It seems that the Dudley model offers the largest living area among these five models.
Each home comes with fully equipped kitchen, luxurious baths and energy-saving features. Few of the things you'll find in the kitchen: GE Profile Energy Star appliances, granite or silestone countertops, 42-inch oak cabinet, butler's pantry, kitchen island, morning room and hardwood flooring. Some of the features in the bathroom: ceramic tile floors and bathtub surround in bathroom, garden soaking tub (not sure I have seen this before) and separate shower in the master bathroom, private water closet.
There's only a few communities in our area that have build 'truly green homes.' At the most, you'll find Energy-Savings features. Here is some of the 'good energy savings' features.
The insulation in roof, overhangs, ceilings, exterior walls and basement walls plus the low-e double glazed windows and vent system - would help you maintain a lower energy bills, keep the house warm in the winter and cool (comfortable) in the summer.
Homes are priced from the low-$1 million.
DUNN LORING GLEN (by Dittmar Company)
model home
There are only 7 homes planned to be built in this community. One of them is already been completed, that's the house they use as a model home. Size of lots approximately 0.25 acre per home with finished homes from 3,600 to 6,500 s.f.
Each home features designer kitchen, luxurious bath finishes, and energy efficiency. Designer kitche features granite countertops, stainless steel GE appliances package, walk-in pantry, butler pantry with sink and wet bar. The energy-efficiency shares some similar features as Dunn Loring Chase even though not as comprehensive as what they have to offer here:
There are two models available: Albermarle and Brentwood.
Homes are priced from low-$1.3 million.
Schools: Stenwood ES, Thoreau MS, George Marshall HS. Community info, here.
Crossposted at New Homes Trekker
Before and After: Bob Peck redevelopment
A new TOD [transit-oriented-development] gets approval from the County. Located a few blocks from Ballston Metro, at intersection of Glebe Road and Wilson Boulevard, the 4.82 acre project will include two office buildings, incorporating more than 400,000 square feet of office space and 36,000 square feet of retail space; 90 units of affordable housing, and 28 townhouses. Via press release.
“This project has it all,” said County Board Chairman Walter Tejada. “It adds to our stock of affordable housing in the Metro corridor. It replaces a car dealership with well-designed, environmentally sustainable buildings that will offer first-class office space, ground-floor retail space, and a mix of affordable and market-rate homes. It will benefit the Ballston area and the neighboring community.”
The last parcel for redevelopment in Ballston metro area gets a nod from Arlington county board. The site sits on the former Bob Peck dealership located a few blocks away from the Metro station.
A couple of things going for the project.
I didn't realize there are so many variables build into choosing regular windows let alone the energy-efficient windows.
Why energy-efficient windows?
The federal tax incentives for energy-efficient windows, doors and skylights, which is only good till 2007. But Congress will be voting to extend the provisions for residential energy-efficient property credits (when they return from President's day recess) on HR5351 - 'The Renewable Energy and Energy Conservation Tax Act of 2008.' None of the utility companies operating in our backyard of DC-MD-VA gives any rebates or incentives to name a few like in California, Colorado. The Federal tax incentives, via efficient windows collaborative.
Tax credit is not the same as tax deduction like your 401(k) rather it is credited or use to offset tax owed, which works better than deductions.
There are important variables in the windows of the world.
If you are still confused, to start with check out EFC website, where you can use the toolkit to compare energy savings and all the good criteria in choosing energy-efficient windows, even though it's designed for builders and designers. And go from there.
Factsheet: Selecting Energy-Efficient Windows in DC, Maryland, Virginia [pdf]
Sources: Efficient Windows Collaborative, Energy Star, National Fenestration Rating Council.
Northern Virginia had the lowest monthly December and yearly 2007 sales. Existing home sales declined by 13.06 percent year-to-date through December. What's interesting is for 2006 total number of homes sold, NVAR posted two different numbers: 1) at 20,753 homes and 2) at 22,377 homes. The second number was based on NVAR historical returns since 2000. It might be a 'typo' on the first, you think?
Using the data from NVAR historical monthly stats, the total number of homes sold in December was 1,199 units, the lowest since 2000. The total number of homes sold for the year was 18,042 declined from 22,377 units in 2006, or a 19.3 percent drop from a year before. On the other hand, prices inched up by 1.35 percent in December. The average home prices for 2007 slightly up for the year at 0.13 percent to $538,463. The average median price (use for when comparing areas) declined by 3.15 percent to $437,500 from $451,750.
Analysis
1. There's a study out there that shows how despite housing slump, prices are still high nationally. The same perspective holds true for Northern Virginia (locally).
In 2007, when you look at the average list price (the price listed on MRIS) and sold price, there is a correlation there. The difference between the average list price vs. sold price swings from 7 percent in January to 9.3 percent in December. Without looking at the specifics, it shows that buyers paid much less for than the listing price. Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac both write-off 5% of LTV on conventional loans.
2. On a 10-year trend, it shows how prices may have the impact on the number of homes sold.
The MoM price trends since 2000
The number of homes sold in 1998 was 22,264 with average sales price of $229,151. Prices have changed a bit since 2005. It stays within the same price range in the low-$500's while the total number of homes declined within the last 3 years - from 30,480 homes sold in 2005, 22,377 homes sold in 2006 to 18,042 homes sold in 2007, the lowest sales since 1998.
That means, price needs to go down a little bit more to get rid of high inventories.
3. The silver lining for soft housing market, especially with rising foreclosures for this area, is a boon for buyers because of high inventory and lower prices.
If you look at last year trend (above), you'll see that we had an upside down market with high inventory and low number of listings that were sold.
Down the road, non-distressed owners would compete in prices with distressed property owners (the must sell) like banks, short-sales sellers, which likely going to affect pricing. Add to it the new homes. Builders need to sell their inventories. At least existing homes sales in general is better than the new home sales that plunged to a record 26% in 2007.
Okay, you get the idea.
S&P Shiller-Case forecasts for further decline in housing. This is the thing. Even if the Fed lowers the interest rate a little bit more and economic stimulus plan gets some traction, that won't help housing market much. On the interest rates' side, what the Fed is doing is lowering the Fed funds rate, that is "..the rate that banks charge against each other overnight." Banks may borrow from the Fed's money at low rate, but, consumer loans operate differently. Refinancing is up, but the cut so far hasn't translated into more purchase. Via Reuters.
The MBA seasonally adjusted index of refinancing applications soared 22.1 percent to 5,103.6, the highest since July 2003. But the index measuring applications for home purchases declined 17.7 percent to 362.0, the MBA said. [emphasis mine]
On the mortgage side, the fixed-rate mortgage, the rate is tied in to long-term Treasury bonds yield that move based on the economy and outlook. And not tied to the Fed funds rate.
The Fed can't slashed rates too deep because "..of inflation risks and dangering of dollars," according to Gross, largest bond fund (PIMCO) manager. And there is risk of bubbles, too?